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In a top-down market sizing, which sequence is the standard approach?

  1. A. Sum the revenues of the top three competitors and add 20% for smaller players
  2. B. Start from one store's revenue and multiply by the number of stores in the country
  3. C. Start from a known population, apply penetration and usage assumptions, then multiply by spend per userCorrect
  4. D. Ask the interviewer for the market size and sanity-check it against GDP

Takeaway. Top-down sizing narrows one large countable base through a chain of assumptions you can each defend, and prices the survivors at the end.

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